Thursday, October 29, 2009

The working class

So I finally started work as an analyst, woohoo... Right?

Don't get me wrong, I LOVE my job, its got the right mix of factors
for me. But one thing was a conversation I had with my coworkers on
pay. We work at an industrial plant, and therefore our company has a
natural emphasis on production. Unfortunately the pay structure isn't.

At my company we seperate employees by tiers, with each tier based on
a mix of experience, nationality (emiritisation issues) and years on
the job and pay them accordingly. But no mention of performance? Now
I'm not saying that performance doesn't factor in to our performance,
I'm saying that it isn't an explicit factor of performance.

I know for a fact that certain sharja govt jobs pay only increases
according to degrees attained, regardless of experience and
performance.

Dubai has some choice jobs in that line too (biased to something or
the other) why no standardization?

More on this as I find out...

--
Sent from my mobile device

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Cityscape ... The saga continues

My curiosity is my downfall... That's what had me try the fish and
chips place at Dubai mall (Terrible)

Granted, it mightve been horrible, but that's what you get for
thinking greasy spoons could actually pass for a good meal.

Curiousity also took me to cityscape.. Here it is in 2 points of view:

1, The buyer / economist :
Luckily, the hype was toned down this year. Nonetheless you had the
wow-me factor in some of the stands, and prices... Of note was the
quiter nakheel stand, the crazy AD stands, and the general mood of the
place.

AD is building itself up a lot like Dxb did, and I'm looking at bloom
developers... They have a prime piece of property ala palm jumeira, a
premium pricing scheme ala palm jumeira, and phases 2 and 3 ala palm
deira and jebel ali, and was announced at the heart of the reccession
ala the universe .

Anyone see a trend?

I'm not saying it won't work, I'm saying bide your time. Don't launch
at the wrong time, scale it down properly (which to blooms credit they
did)... But the facts of a global recession are still clear, slow and
steady wins the race.

The marketing hype is still unreasonable. No supertowers, but a lot of
hardsells. My opinion is to follow Trump jrs. Train of thought on this
years cityscape, and tread carefully on a risk vs reward basis.

2: the social commentary:

Suprisingly Meeras had a stand up. This was a real upset for me, as
I live in Jumeira. Meeras hasn't been too popular among some local
circles since they would ask for your home in return for compensation.
Some locals don't want to move. Some locals don't want homes and
money. Some locals don't want another few years of messed up roads,
and churned up coastline.

Especially Jumeira, a place filled with history, there is a lot that
can be had focusing on its essential beauty: the people, the history,
the integration, than with another "new dubai" destination like dubai
marina.

Maybe there will be concessions for it, and ill get the best of both
worlds. But I doubt it.

It wasn't just the fish hurtin me...

--


Friday, September 11, 2009

Dubai Metro

Mattar Al Tayer once said that an investment in infrastructure is
never a waste. He is right, and for that I salute him. This is the
crowning glory of modern dubai in my opinion. Its not those towers,
its not the fancy cars.

Its this.

This is on the level of the creek being built, or shindagha tunnel
being opened... Let's just hope it doesn't take too long to get the
kinks out of the system.

After all, I remember shindagha getting flooded when it rained too hard :-)

--
Sent from my mobile device

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Blackberry blues

Aside from CNN, and almost ALL local newspapers talking about the interceptor software on etisalat blackberries, its more popular than ever.

For some its a means of flirting. Yes, the days of bluetooth messaging
are dead. Long live Blackberry Messenger (BBM).

For some its for business emailing; Its intended purpose.

And for the rest its something in between. An alternative to the damnable iphone craze... Ugh.

Not that the blackberry is the lesser of two evils.

An intresting social experiment though. 2500 dhs for a smart phone(reccession any1?) , and you get flirts as part of your target market?

I wonder how much the next craze would cost...

I don't think the blackberry makers realized it, but they've struck gold here .

Oh, and I can blog from this thing too!

--
Sent from my mobile device

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Ramadan Kareem

Its finally that time of the year where we can all slow down, and
think a little.

Take a few seconds and think about the less fortunate. Put yourself in their place... Better yourself.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

The trouble with the UAE

This is the economist article that got the publication banned for this month.

Take a second to read it.

In a nutshell, the article outlines the economic situation in the UAE, and how Dubai particulary has been hit hard due to overzealous? decisions.

I make no bones that mistakes were made, this article is an eye-opener.

In this article they talk about Dubai's assets, and how if need be we can sell Emirates airlines, Dubal, etc etc.

And then there is talk of Abu Dhabi bailing Dubai out.

And then concluding that the Maktoums days are numbered.

,.,.,?

Without a doubt, there has to be transparency. Without a doubt, there are massive mistakes that decision-makers have to answer to. But to suggest the Maktoum's are to be swept aside on the basis of a damaged economy is flawed.

"Wealth is power" right?... This article contends (among other things) that with the decreased wealth of Dubai, there should be a corresponding weakness in power of the ruling family.

"Wealth is power": Expand that:

Power over what?

The great economist Adam Smith was very clear that "power" is not political power, though it may lead to it:

It is rather the purchasing power over forces of labor.

Even if our economy gets stuck, the people are "mollycoddled by benovelent rulers" (their words)... We have sponsorship laws, gauranteed land etc etc by the UAE government.

So despite the economists assertions about Dubai's political floor, the Maktoums are fine.

Sunday, May 31, 2009

Ab'ha dreams.

Time alone puts things in perspective.

I get to see my devils, and my guilt at play... Therapy at its finest.

I thought I had troubles with marraige, listen to this guy.

Awww... He says what alot of guys think. Though I disagree with him on some points on marriage, hes ignoring social status and putting it on the backburner.

Social status will exist regardless of what you do. You cannot ignore it, you must work around it.

Friday, May 22, 2009

Other things.

This deserved a post of its own.

Education first, marriage second. Simple enough rule because priorities must be set straight on this one. Im not talking about getting educated for the sake of marriage, which is a damning prospect for society as whole.

While not a statistical measure by any means, I had a friend in AUS take a class that was filled with local girls. My friend is a local as well but doesnt look like one so he witnesses an intresting situation in the class which im relating to you in this blog. The teacher asks the local girls in particular why they were studying, and one girl says in no uncertain terms that she was doing it solely to get married. The teacher, taken aback, asks how many shared this opinion... And with the exception of one girl, they all raised their hands.

Now I just related the gist of an intresting social experiment in a university class, but apply that answer to the "real world", (dont you just love that phrase?)

I ask anyone who reads this blog, ALL 3 of you, to pass this message on as best you can.

Education, work, and any other noble deed should be for their own sakes. Not for that hot guy around the corner, not for dad's mercedes: It should be because you can make a difference.

Marriage UAE style.

"my way or the highway"

That sums up the bulk of what Im seeing in UAE marriages. Ive talked about this countless times, especially when I first started up this blog, but now its getting more relevant.
Some people think I have what it takes to get married.

Or do I?

Marriage here in the UAE is a social affair on a few levels. If you were working, you almost always invite your colleagues, being an eastern culture, and all. But that's the thing.

Im not assimilated per se into UAE society. I like to think that I take the good, and leave out the bad mixing and matching to produce the bearded caveman that I am.

Unfortunately, as I still happily live in the UAE I have to look at the rulebook thrown at me. I have to have a house. Not an apartment, not a rental... A villa.

Then the marriage, that has to be scaled to your percieved status in society, and no family wants their daughter to look cheap. All this to save a local girl from being a spinster.

I might be painting the women with unfairly large brushstrokes, but they chose the paint. In all fairness, its really not up to the girls sometimes, but the widespread complacency with it is appaling.

I would rather build my home with my wife, than have it ready for us the second we are hitched. Id rather have my marraige a close family affair with a few extra tables than a wedding for 2500 strangers.

At the end of it all, I want to build a solid relationship built on us, and not on the empty promises of newly built house thats not a home, the stench of a new car, or the sparkle of a dress worn only once.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Capitalism.

Well, visiting america is quite an eye opener these days. Last time I came here was pre- 911, and I was quite young.

A few things are apparent, and I wish I was more eloquent to put what Im realizing into words. The american economy despite its massive downturn, is very strange. Im here on a mini- mission for dad: looking for investments.

Im not the only one, as the business bestseller shelf in borders is piled with John Grahams classic "the intelligent investor", and "rich dad, poor dad". So some are trying to look at fundamentals ala Warren Buffet.

But strangely, Im not seeing the fundamentals shine through. Its like there is a thick haze... Blurred by advertisments, and bloated promises.

I was suggested to look at GE stocks by a guy I met in the gym, a cpa with a masters in real estate.

And I did, 10 percent dividend return. An amazing return, even if we werent in a downturn economy. Compare that to a fixed rate intrest of 10 years (I think) in the 4s at bank of america
and all goes well in my mini- mission.

Not really, a little checking, and I dont know how GE can sustain those dividends (true my calculations might be off, but still). Too risky.

But if I were to believe him, 10 percent was the be-all, end-all. I would be smooth sailing with GE. an ad.

Real estate fared no better. Haze is there too. Despite falling prices plastered on the news, the two place I visited had strangely high prices for what I was looking.

There are too many middlemen. Too much advertisment.

Not to vsay you cant find, there are some real bargains there. But the more I see, the more skeptical I am.

Inshalla Ill find something, but even if I dont it was worth looking.

and the hohos rock.

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

The state of education

Here, you will find an intresting article on education in the UAE.

Im a product of our educational system, and have argued more than once for a reform. In particular, A proper reform of our high-schools. My brother is getting carrots compared to what could be offered. Though I will concede its better than what it was in my day.

Case in point: I participated in political rallies at my school... The kind where we are all pulled out of class to burn flags.

Not my idea of a balanced education.

Wednesday, February 04, 2009

The epic hunt

I, being the genius that most have come to love, have decided the time has come. Yes, I couldnt take it anymore, my days of partying will dry up, and it would be solemn drudgery for the next few weeks, months, maybe years.

I have decided to look for a job.

And a finance degree in times of a financial crises is my ticket in.

Any takers? We shall see!

:-)

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

The crash and the response.

Ive delibiratly left off posting like a nutter on the matter of that "healthy correction" (Abaars words) that weve been having.

I was intrested in seeing the effects, both good and bad, of a market correction such as this. The older traders say its happened before in the late 70s, but yet alot of them were puring money in.

Then the gong sounded, and speculative buyers fled. Thousands of expats left. A number off the top of my head is 70000 filipinos (GNews). If we account for a population of 1.2M in Dubai, thats about 5% of our population. Thats just Filipinos.

So speculation moved. From freehold property sales, to rentals. No wonder people were running.

Then some fellow from RERA (the real estate authourity) decided that we didnt need rent caps because "2009 is a tough year".

The actions of the speculators on both our stocks and real estate markets not a lesson? Emaar is at 2.05 Dhs today.

LUCKILY, and the sole reason I am posting this is because of hope: Sheikh Mohamed issues a decree in effect saf-gaurding consumers from high rents, and RERA issues a market rent index

Oh, and Obama, the first black president of the United States was inaugrated today.

Change has come?

Monday, January 12, 2009

Gaza, and its entrails

I dont need to say anything about the atrocities there. Do what you can for them.

Its intresting that GulfNews is actively shaming the arabs. Shame that the writers wont own up it with their names.

Oh well. Give the audience what they want?

Sunday, July 06, 2008

Islamic Banks

Me being the curious soul that I am have decided to shun conventional banking. To make way for what is "sharia compliant"... There isnt much that is really sharia compliant is my conclusion. Alot of it is semantics, and profit exercises. The asset backed, profit/loss/ risk sharing is there in theory, its there on paper: but an islamic bank is meant to be ISLAMIC: No sukuks for sinful ventures. No SPVs to hedge (which is pretty much unislamic)

Deutsche bank: Im looking at you

But the sad part is that its the local banks here that are following: Look at balance sheets, and look for interest income (transfer of interest)... Just a quick observation, which CAN be validated. but should it be?

Food for thought

Friday, June 20, 2008

The end of an era?

The end of an era? Or the start of a new one?

The growth of Dubai, and the UAE in general needs no elaborating on: In the few years we have been pushing for business, we have rapidly grown into a booming economy.

Ive written before on excessive growth, and unsustainable growth, but never on emigration. Ive always thought about the danger of too many immigrants to the UAE, and the dilution of the culture and values as a consequence.

What if the locals started leaving?

What if the locals crying on the radio about ends not meeting decided to pack up and leave? What If it wasnt feasible to live in my beautiful UAE anymore?

Today was the first time I had the conversation opened on the lunch table, and it was a haunting thought. My parents noted it happened before: back when the UAE didnt have proper infrastructure to support its citizens, a great many locals (with the means) studied abroad, and STAYED abroad... The problem now is not with a lack of infrastructure, its deeper than that...

Time will tell. One things for sure though, Im going to give it my best to fix this problem...

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Peg, Peg, Peg

Score for the Anti-dollar bunch:

Suwaidi , Wheres your name? I dont see it in this article? Why isnt the central bank governor be it Sultan AlSuwaidi (or someone else?) in probably the most influential national article of the month?

Given, this is the umpteenth (1, 2 , 3) time its mentioned this year. I want to call him out: YES foreign investment is good. YES, tourism / oil sectors would favor lower dollars, BUT what about the booming trade sector? what about the local businesses? What about the food basket? How is lower-income sector going to eat with prices of cooking oil going up by 13 percent (if I remember correctly) ?

I want to see a board voting on this, with published opinions and positions, because the random mumblings of one man to influence a nations ENTIRE currency peg is odd.

On a lighter note: I find it smart that most of the mumblings are in the arabic newspapers not the english ones, that way the international community doesnt freak out at what he has to say? (dont know if thats just a fluke or not :-p)

Sunday, May 06, 2007

A new blog...

Erm,,, Once again there is this looong abscence between my posts. But for good reason.

Im opening a new blog with an intresting twist. Check back here :-)

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

the update

Havent posted 4 about 2 weeks...

Ill fix that:

2 issues really need to be brought up in this post:

1- The wafi heist... EVERYONE is talking about it. According to Lt. Dahi Khalfan, investigators arrived within three minutes. Bullshit.

Im sorry Dahi, but that was stupid, unprofessional, and an intresting window into your world given that you talk to the media like that. It took more than 20 minutes. But you better thank God they didnt reach in time: Why do you respond to a robbery with automatic machine guns by sending cops holding 9mm pistols? Im dissappointed. (NOTE: Ive heard some of the robbers have already been caught)

But I dont really blame you, what with the tongue- lashing Shkh Mohamed Bin Rashid doled out to the ministers yesterday, my second point...

Praise is needed, where praise is deserved, and Shkh Mohamed surely deserves it. He took the ministers one by one, and started burning them for their weaknesses in their respective departments, and RIGHTLY so. Hes brought up a visit to the courts in Dubai... And pointed out the incompetency he saw. Then he brought up the lack of an updated pool of medical knowledge, and then the education curriclum, and the dire need for it to be changed. He pointed out some of the biggest problems I have been screaming about on this blog, and threw them back at the ministers.

All of this, in front of all the other sheikhs. I wouldve brought popcorn.

Maroon 5 - makes you wonder

Sunday, April 01, 2007

A little annoying

Ok, one thing that seriously annoys me.

To be black isnt very good here in the UAE. There I said it. Rascism is rampant.

So its like OMG if you called someone black or '7al in arabic. So ppl resort to calling there local friends asmar: tanned... When they are black!

Screw that, just let us get that messed up thought about ppl of color from our minds, and that way we can call people who are black... black!.

Within Temptation - What have you done